Excellent operational mapping. The deeper effect is not simply the interdiction of individual routes, but the conversion of geography into a persistent exposure system. Each damaged bridge, detour, pontoon repair and convoy delay compresses logistics into fewer observable corridors, extends the time spent under surveillance, and forces air-defence assets into increasingly predictable protective tasks. Crimea does not need to be completely isolated for the campaign to succeed; it is enough to make every resupply cycle slower, costlier and less certain.
Very detailed and comprehensive, thanks. So much for the Russian military but what will happen when civilians start lacking food and most of all, water?
There are reservoirs that are filled from 12-72%, and there are various wells. The Russians blew up the Kakhovka dam which drained the reservoir that provided 18% of the peninsula's drinking water. And the pipes leak 70% of the water they transport because of poor maintenance. There was concern about water issues before, just as there are shortages in the temporarily occupied territories of Donetsk. The destruction of the bridges hasn't changed that issue.
By law, Russia remains responsible for the population and they don't even take care of all the people in their country, let alone the temporarily occupied territories.
The Kerch bridge is still operational. Loads that aren't too heavy can still provide food.
That's true where oil fires created black rain. I haven't heard of Crimean water being polluted but some wells have been dug so deep that salt water is now contaminating some underground water. In Donetsk, pumps were keeping the mines dry but now that they've been abandoned the water supplies is contaminated by the mines.
Very good explanation. Thank you for the info and context.
Excellent operational mapping. The deeper effect is not simply the interdiction of individual routes, but the conversion of geography into a persistent exposure system. Each damaged bridge, detour, pontoon repair and convoy delay compresses logistics into fewer observable corridors, extends the time spent under surveillance, and forces air-defence assets into increasingly predictable protective tasks. Crimea does not need to be completely isolated for the campaign to succeed; it is enough to make every resupply cycle slower, costlier and less certain.
Exactly.
Very good and detailed overview, thanks!
Thank you for the analysis. Looking forward to future developments
Very detailed and comprehensive, thanks. So much for the Russian military but what will happen when civilians start lacking food and most of all, water?
There are reservoirs that are filled from 12-72%, and there are various wells. The Russians blew up the Kakhovka dam which drained the reservoir that provided 18% of the peninsula's drinking water. And the pipes leak 70% of the water they transport because of poor maintenance. There was concern about water issues before, just as there are shortages in the temporarily occupied territories of Donetsk. The destruction of the bridges hasn't changed that issue.
By law, Russia remains responsible for the population and they don't even take care of all the people in their country, let alone the temporarily occupied territories.
The Kerch bridge is still operational. Loads that aren't too heavy can still provide food.
After all the bombing I suppose all natural waters are tainted with dangerous substances
That's true where oil fires created black rain. I haven't heard of Crimean water being polluted but some wells have been dug so deep that salt water is now contaminating some underground water. In Donetsk, pumps were keeping the mines dry but now that they've been abandoned the water supplies is contaminated by the mines.